Conditioned exit measures for branching Markov processes
Holder: Emma Horton(University of Warwick)
Time:2026-06-16 14:00-15:00
Location:智华楼选报告厅-101
Abstract:
Motivated by the need to estimate rare events probabilities in many real world systems, we consider path decompositions for conditioned exit measures of non-local branching processes. In particular, we show that non-local branching processes conditioned to exit a domain via certain sets exhibit a many-to-few decomposition.
About the Speaker:
Emma completed her PhD at the University of Bath in 2019. After this, she spent one year as a postdoc in Nancy, France before obtaining a research position as chargée de recherche with Inria in Bordeaux. During her time in Bordeaux she also completed a secondment at the University of Melbourne, Australia. Since September 2023 she has held the position of Assistant Professor in the Statistics Department at the University of Warwick. A large part of Emma’s research focusses on branching processes and their applications. She is also interested in quasi-stationary distributions, Feynman Kac formulae, semigroup stability and sequential Monte Carlo methods.
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